Hot air balloon

Hot air balloon

Pencil and paper
Overview
Using this Resource
Connecting to the Curriculum
Marking Student Responses
Further Resources
This task is about choosing how likely some outcomes are.


A hot-air balloon landed on one of the three farms above.

a)
The balloon was most likely to have landed on which farm(s)?
  
  (A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)		 Wright's farm
Tainui farm
Blakely's farm
Blakely's or Wright's farm
Any one of the farms

b)
The balloon was least likely to have landed on which farm(s)?
  
  (A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)		 Wright's farm
Tainui farm
Blakely's farm
Blakely's​ or Wright's farm
Any one of the farms

c)
What are the chances the balloon landed on the Tainui farm?
  
  (A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
(E)		 Certain
Good chance
Even chance
Poor chance
Impossible
Task administration: 
This task is completed with pencil and paper only.
Level:
3
Curriculum info: 
Maths, Statistics, Probability
Keywords: 
probability, qualitative probability
Description of task: 
Students determine the probability of a hot air balloon landing in various locations marked on a grid map.
Curriculum Links: 
This resource can be used to help to identify students' understanding of ordering likelihoods of outcomes for simple situations involving chance and  selecting appropriate qualitative terms.
Learning Progression Frameworks
This resource can provide evidence of learning associated with
Interpreting statistical and chance situations, sets 3-4
within the Mathematics Learning Progressions Frameworks.
Read more about the Learning Progressions Frameworks.
Answers/responses: 
   
Y6 (06/1998)
a) B [Tainui farm] very easy
b) C [Blakely's farm] easy
c) B [Good chance]               easy
For more information, click on the Probability concept map.